Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.038994 0.042426 0.045886 0.049628 0.053555 0.057549 0.061910
2025-10-12 0.033480 0.038546 0.043825 0.049712 0.056069 0.062706 0.070134
2025-10-19 0.029629 0.035895 0.042619 0.050314 0.058822 0.067893 0.078242
2025-10-26 0.026590 0.033765 0.041670 0.050927 0.061371 0.072701 0.085832
2025-11-02 0.022676 0.030278 0.038890 0.049211 0.061092 0.074202 0.089624
2025-11-09 0.020084 0.028083 0.037377 0.048744 0.062056 0.076955 0.094698
2025-11-16 0.017978 0.026284 0.036167 0.048486 0.063137 0.079744 0.099735
2025-11-23 0.017012 0.025793 0.036445 0.049920 0.066140 0.084704 0.107232
2025-11-30 0.016015 0.025173 0.036494 0.051019 0.068704 0.089126 0.114095
2025-12-07 0.014937 0.024362 0.036236 0.051688 0.070708 0.092864 0.120147
2025-12-14 0.013721 0.023277 0.035560 0.051776 0.071963 0.095684 0.125100
2025-12-21 0.013085 0.022929 0.035790 0.052968 0.074542 0.100064 0.131888
2025-12-28 0.011665 0.021425 0.034474 0.052188 0.074708 0.101596 0.135372
2026-01-04 0.010771 0.020606 0.034021 0.052481 0.076186 0.104703 0.140739
2026-01-11 0.010106 0.020075 0.033920 0.053204 0.078185 0.108435 0.146859
2026-01-18 0.009482 0.019560 0.033807 0.053886 0.080120 0.112084 0.152885
2026-01-25 0.008134 0.017824 0.031913 0.052132 0.078889 0.111799 0.154113
2026-02-01 0.007297 0.016827 0.031008 0.051658 0.079268 0.113474 0.157704
2026-02-08 0.006593 0.015987 0.030284 0.051395 0.079890 0.115434 0.161631
2026-02-15 0.006412 0.016020 0.030835 0.052885 0.082809 0.120280 0.169122
2026-02-22 0.006154 0.015896 0.031139 0.054026 0.085268 0.124550 0.175914
2026-03-01 0.005801 0.015578 0.031134 0.054719 0.087128 0.128065 0.181778
2026-03-08 0.005332 0.015009 0.030717 0.054811 0.088173 0.130539 0.186346